heritage commons university of utah. They also mark two years since the U.S. shut down in response to the coronavirus pandemic, by using data to explore some of the ways American life has changed in that time. The crew looks at public opinion on the war in Afghanistan and the Biden administration's decision to withdraw U.S. troops as the country now faces a Taliban takeover. Although much of our elections-related attention is already trained on 2024, there are consequential elections happening this very calendar year. The crew talks about what led to Cuomo's resignation, how New Yorkers feel about his replacement, and what this means for New Yorks 2022 Democratic primary race for governor. Above, storm clouds over downtown Laramie, Wyo., on Aug. 13, 2022. The crew debates why politicians break with their parties in high-profile ways and what the repercussions can be. 00:14:18 - Federal health agencies asked states to pause in their use of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine while U.S. officials investigate reports of an extre The crew talks about the threat of a government shutdown and debt default, as well as how likely it is that Democrats get their legislative priorities passed. They also discuss the recent trend in Senate candidates refusing to debate each other and why Republicans can't agree on what abortion restrictions to pass. The crew follows up on last weeks Republican 2024 primary draft with its first Democratic primary draft. On Thursday, the Supreme Court wrapped up its first term with a 6-3 conservative majority on the bench. They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries and discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent. They also review a new report from the American Association of Public Opinion Research on why election polls had a historically large error in 2020. The crew recaps that race and other notable results from the June 14 primaries. They also cover the redistricting process happening around the country after a number of big recent developments. Staff writer at The Atlantic Elaine Godfrey and political science professor Danny Hayes discuss the role local news plays in society and what happens when it erodes. The podcast turns its focus abroad, to Canada and Germany, to see how other democracies' electoral systems work and what cleavages their politics are facing. The crew discusses which states will determine the balance of both chambers and what theyve learned from this election so far. The Supreme Court heard oral arguments on Wednesday in one of the highest profile cases of the term. . We assess the state of American democracy, based on a new survey from Bright Line Watch, a group of political scientists that monitors threats to our democratic systems. It's tempting to use the special election to gauge the national political environment, but the crew explains why one election alone isn't a reliable indicator. In this installment, we put that primary in context by looking more broadly at the relationship between urban centers and the Democratic Party. A message from Martine. New episodes release Tuesdays, Thursdays, and Sundays. The crew tries to unpack whats driving Democrats legislative decisions and who will have to compromise to pass the party's agenda. The crew discusses what these results mean for the midterms this fall and where other indicators of the political environment are pointing. The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, was founded on March 7, 2008, as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. Galen and Nate discuss what to make of it in this installment of Model Talk.". The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. But some Republicans are still jockeying for position to be the next leader of the party, the most prominent of which may be Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. The Gabfest, featuring Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz, is the kind of informal and irreverent discussion Washington journalists have They also address a listener question that suggests Republicans achieve their policy goals more often than Democrats. Economics Professor at George Washington University, Tara Sinclair, joins to explain what is going on with the economy and the potential consequences of a spike in prices. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn The crew discusses why the Kansas amendment that would have ended state constitutional rights to abortion failed by such a wide margin. COVID-19 has pushed Americans into more uncertain territory than most have ever known. Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. They also discuss Bidens sweeping vaccine mandate -- how Americans feel about vaccine mandates in general, how effective they are and if Bidens is legal. The crew reacts to the results in Tuesdays primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky and Oregon. They also assess whether narratives from the 2021 gubernatorial election in Virginia hold up in light of new data, and debate the hottest legislative topic in Washington: permanent Daylight Saving Time. They consider how much. In this installment, Jennifer Merolla, a Professor of Political Science at UC Riverside, and Hannah Hartig, a research associate at Pew Research Center reflect on the political climate in the immediate aftermath of 9/11 and whether a similar American consensus is possible today. Accuracy is not guaranteed. FiveThirtyEight Politics 3 days ago Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided. January 23, 2023 Examined What comes next after Texas school shooting? The crew analyzes new polling suggesting Americans support enforcing a no-fly zone over Ukraine and banning the purchase of Russian oil even if it increases gas prices. The crew looks at how some of the most competitive primaries in 2022 are shaping up. At the beginning of the millennium, about two-thirds of Americans opposed same-sex marriage, and a third supported it. The crew discusses how Liz Cheney and Madison Cawthorn's primaries serve as a test of what the Republican Party and its voters will and wont accept. david senak now. Nate Silver's. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. Posted by October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts . As of this writing, we still dont know which party will control the House or Senate, and we may not know come the morning. The Perks Workers Want Also Make Them More Productive, Democrats Are Open To Ditching Biden In 2024. Senior writer and legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discusses how the Justices approached the question and what Americans think about abortion policy. They also ask whether it's too early to conclude that the leak of a draft Supreme Court opinion overturning Roe has had little impact on the political environment. But you can form your own by listening and learning (and learning how to listen). And they look at the experiences of urban Republicans and rural Democrats in a country increasingly sorted geographically and politically. Hosts of the British Talking Politics podcast, David Runciman and Helen Thompson, discuss why the British public and some members of the Conservative Party have soured on Johnson in a way that Republicans never soured on President Trump, despite his numerous scandals. Upload your Podcast as an audio or video file to Type Studio in our menu. The crew discusses the role of the debt ceiling in politics, why it exists in the first place, and the chances of it being abolished altogether. RSS Loading. This is why we are coming every fortnight on your podcast platforms to help you make sense of the new and now. Galen and Nate react to former President Trump's entrance into the 2024 presidential race and debate he stands in a possible matchup against Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. The Negro League Stars That MLB Kept Out And Is Finally Recognizing. Then Nathaniel Rakich and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux join to discuss how abortion has played a role in elections this year and when we should know the results of next months midterms. The crew debates whether a poll asking Americans which animals they could take on is a fight is a "good or bad use of polling." Hours before we freeze the FiveThirtyEight midterm forecast tonight, it shows that Republicans are in a dead heat for the Senate and are favored to win the House. They also consider whether abortion as an issue will motivate voters in other elections this fall and look at the primary winners in Arizona, Missouri, Michigan and Washington. The idea of the celebrity politician isnt going away just because former President Trump is out of office. Pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson joins the crew to discuss a new survey that categorizes voters into at least four ideological quadrants and tries to imagine how voters would align if America were a multi-party democracy. Their recent data-driven post-mortem of the Latino vote in 2020 looks at which voters were likeliest to favor Trump and offers some hypotheses as to why. They also previewed and caught up on some elections, including Alaskas special election to replace longtime Alaska congressman Don Young that took place this past weekend. The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterms forecast is live, and it shows that Republicans are strong favorites to win the House while the Senate is a toss up between the two parties. In her new book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On A New Age Of Crisis, New York Times reporter Jeanna Smialek focuses on another unelected institution with a lot of power over American life: the Federal Reserve. Also, CalMatters Politics reporter Laurel Rosenhall and political analyst Paul Mitchell join to discuss the status of the California gubernatorial recall election. The FBI released nationwide crime numbers from 2020 this week that will likely contribute to the already tense political debate over crime and policing. Zach and ESPN's Michael Schwartz break down the red-hot Suns ahead of their showdown with the Warriors, then ESPN's Dave McMenamin checks in on the Lakers -- plus . Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection Don't Look Great. It's a busy week! About 32 million Americans get summoned for jury duty each year. And they try to guess what Americans think about love and relationships in a Valentine's Day-themed game. In this installment, civil and environmental engineer Daniel Cohan joins FiveThirtyEight's Sarah Frostenson, Maggie Koerth and Galen Druke to discuss why the blackouts occurred, where responsibility lies and how politics responds to these kinds of crises. They also discuss how incumbents have been faring overall in this midterms primaries. The crew dives into four major investigations into former president Donald Trumps actions, the legal consequences he could be facing, and how the American public is reacting. According to a recent Marist poll, inflation is now Americans leading economic concern. Welcome to Internet Archive TV News! The crew checks in on the California recall election and other upcoming races, and talks about how a Trump endorsement is shaping a Wyoming primary. Pew Research has released its verified voter survey, looking at how different groups within the electorate voted in 2020. The crew discusses how the scandals surrounding Walker have evolved over the course of his Senate campaign and how the latest could affect the outcome of the race. Thee also tracks the latest voting restrictions being considered by Georgia Republicans, including a proposal to end early voting on Sundays, which is when Black churches traditionally mobilize voters through "souls to the polls" events. They also discuss moderate Senate Democrats' push to amend some of the provisions in the American Rescue plan and look at the politics and science behind the push to loosen covid-19 restrictions in states. All rights reserved. With midterm elections in the rearview mirror, Galen and Nate open up the mail bag to answer lingering questions about the results. Perry Bacon Jr. speaks with Galen Druke about his recent reporting on the kinds of ideas that have gained currency on the Left and how the Right has responded. They also look at how the Democratic Party's effort to rearrange its presidential primary calendar is going, and ask whether a survey of Republican National Committee members was a good or bad use of polling. The Supreme Court Not So Much. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers . A year later, Trump still appears to be the de facto leader of the party. In early January of 2020, then-President Trump encouraged Raffensperger to help overturn the election results in Georgia. Politics Podcast: American Opinion Of China Has Plummeted, Politics Podcast: Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech, Politics Podcast: How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did, Politics Podcast: The Politics Of Loneliness, Politics Podcast: The Elections Happening In 2023. Instagram did not return a 200. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The crew discusses why some Republican candidates are changing their tune about the legitimacy of the 2020 election depending on the situation. Reporter Greg Bluestein explains how it happened in his new book, Flipped: How Georgia Turned Purple and Broke the Monopoly on Republican Power, and discusses with Galen what it means for 2022 and beyond. Institutions are the rules of the game of our societies that direct our everyday lives in fundamental ways. Most recently, he ran and hosted 30 for 30 Podcasts, part of ESPN Films. Lastly, the team analyzes how the educational divide is shaping American politics. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. You can't imitate a worldview. FT Podcasts FT Weekend podcast 31 min listen Best of: Chef Mashama Bailey on reclaiming African-American food The award-winning chef explains her creative process 2 hours ago FT News Briefing. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew covers both the results of the Ohio Senate primary and the leaked draft opinion from the Supreme Court that would overturn Roe v. Wade. People are angry and politicians are pointing fingers. The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. By doing so we are missing another important divide, one that may actually run counter to the idea that America is hopelessly conflicted between red and blue. The board of directors voted Friday to accept the resignation of David Held, effective June 1, and will then offer him the same job on . He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. The crew debates whether the Democratic Party really is actually in disarray as it struggles to pass legislation and faces a difficult midterm year, or if its hurdles are usual for any party in power. The crew discusses why Sarah Palin may not be a shoe-in for a vacant House seat in Alaska. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. So, the usual. Why Valentina Shevchenko Is A Huge Favorite And Jon Jones Isn't At UFC 285,A pair of championships are on the line at UFC 285 in Las Vegas Saturday night, and both title bouts offer a study in contrasts. The crew digs into why Democrats underperformed in a special election in Texas. They also assess how polls performed in 2019 and 2020 in general, with the benefit of hindsight and updated pollster ratings. Mona Chalabi of FiveThirtyEight.com joins NPR's Rachel Martin for a look at who those people are. Galen Druke discusses that question with pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson and writers Ramesh Ponnuru and Henry Olsen, who have all spent their careers in Republican politics and conservative thought. The crew discusses why the number of independents has been growing and what it means for American politics. It was a fiendishly clever and massively hyped invention. They also talk about what states are doing with their billions in excess cash and look into opinion polling on the U.S.s involvement in Ukraine. Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes. They also analyze a new poll from YouGov that breaks down why 78 percent of Americans say they have changed their mind on one or more political issue over the course of their lives. OPEC+ announced its cutting oil production by 2 million barrels a day, President Biden is talking about the threat of nuclear Armageddon and shoes keep dropping in the Georgia Senate race. r/fivethirtyeight. Latino voters swung by eight percentage points toward President Trump in the last election, the largest swing of any racial or ethnic group in the electorate. They also try to get to the bottom of whether Americans support the Parental Rights In Education Bill -- or what its critics call the Dont Say Gay Bill -- which Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed into law last week. The crew debates the value of polling whether Americans want Biden and Trump to run again in 2024. They also scrutinize a new survey that suggests most Americans think "The West Wing" and other political TV shows are reflective of how politics works. This is the final FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast episode of the Trump presidency. The crew discusses the Senate passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, new polling on how Americans think about crime and gun violence, and how state-level debates over abortion bans are playing out. They also check in on the results from two recent primary elections in Ohio and announce the launch of FiveThirtyEights Redistricting Tracker. They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump. On the Conversations with Tyler podcast, produced by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, celebrated polymath and academic economist Tyler Cowen explores the minds and methods of today's top thinkers. To mark a year since Russias full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. Sign up to get unlimited songs and podcasts with occasional ads. They consider how much preelection polling can tell us about the state of the country and what other sources we might rely on. He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. In Matthew Continetti's new book, The Right: The Hundred Year War For American Conservatism, he argues that in order to understand where the right is heading, you have to understand where it's been. What does it take to make democracy work? Republican Mayra Flores won the special election in Texass 34th congressional district on Tuesday, avoiding a runoff and flipping the longtime Democratic seat in Texass Rio Grande Valley. Nathaniel Rakich discusses why it's difficult to draw a broader conclusion about the political environment based on the result. Late Wednesday night in a 5-4 decision, the Supreme Court chose not to block a Texas law banning most abortions after the sixth week of pregnancy -- making it the most restrictive abortion law in the country. You can get between 30 cents to $1.10 for every audio minute, which sums up to $18 - $66 per audio hour. The U.S. shot down at least three unidentified flying objects over the weekend. Galen Druke and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discuss the messages that Senators sent and whether we were able to glean anything about what kind of Justice Jackson would be. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the news events and polling that have contributed to that change. As Congress considers legislation that would decriminalize marijuana and end the sentencing disparity for crack and cocaine offenses, Galen Druke speaks with FiveThirtyEight contributor Lester Black about what Americans think should be done about drugs and how politicians are responding. The crew asks whether Biden's approval rating could be boosted by the American Rescue Plan and how popular he'd have to be to avoid a backlash at the midterms. 01:06 PM. Rev also gives transcribers the autonomy to work for as much or little as they want. The team assesses New York Governor Andrew Cuomo's political future after a report from the New York Attorney General concluded that he sexually harassed 11 women. In recent weeks, Democrats odds of keeping control of the Senate after the 2022 midterms have ticked up to sixty percent, according to our deluxe forecast model. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Find us at ThisDayPod.com. The recall effort ultimately failed by a sizable margin. Digital Expert Zone; Our Services; About Us; Get In Touch; Shop; dyckman shooting 2021. fairfield, ct concerts on the green 2021 0. Nate Silver is back from his book research/poker trip to Las Vegas, and in this installment, he sits down with Galen Druke to answer listener questions and talk about what he learned on the strip.

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